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Qual 312018 Chezy Champs
Red241
696159.2
4159143.7
1538186.1
Blue410
2910214.9
2046224.9
3478194.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2334380100200300400500600700241410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#38
186.11.5
193.8→192.3
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
blue by 38.9
2046
#5
224.90.6
220.3→220.8
Auto21.8
Teleop183.1
End21.5
Second
696
#29
159.21.0
155.6→156.6
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
blue by 55.7
2910
#12
214.91.3
220.4→219.1
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
Third
4159
#40
143.71.1
146.6→145.5
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
blue by 50.8
3478
#13
194.51.6
200.0→198.4
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned