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Red228
2659163.7
5818175.9
2471192.3
Blue319
687171.0
1323214.2
5026154.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3683140100200400500600228319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.30.7
198.5197.8
Auto21.7
Teleop146.0
End19.7
blue by 21.9
214.22.2
228.4226.2
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
Second
5818
#33
175.91.7
188.1186.4
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
red by 4.9
687
#21
171.00.7
174.4173.7
Auto24.4
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Third
2659
#36
163.70.2
169.9169.7
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
red by 9.7
5026
#42
154.01.8
161.5159.7
Auto20.8
Teleop119.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsMissed