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Red217
115151.0
254237.3
4388156.9
Blue310
973188.9
5499141.9
5803182.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4203040100200500600700800217310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
237.31.0
248.4247.4
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
red by 48.4
973
#10
188.90.4
189.6189.3
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
Second
4388
#25
156.90.4
162.4162.0
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End11.4
blue by 25.3
5803
#11
182.20.7
186.0185.2
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
Third
115
#41
151.01.0
158.8157.9
Auto17.7
Teleop117.1
End15.4
red by 9.0
5499
#32
141.90.4
143.2142.8
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
86%Face the Boss oddsMissed58%Face the Boss oddsEarned