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Red460
842202.4
3512196.8
1072147.2
Blue187
2990174.9
8160.8
5924133.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102670100200300500600700460187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#24
202.40.6
204.0203.4
Auto23.2
Teleop163.3
End13.6
red by 27.6
2990
#22
174.90.7
175.4176.1
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
Second
196.80.5
193.4193.9
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
red by 36.1
8
#18
160.80.3
162.4162.1
Auto22.2
Teleop126.7
End14.6
Third
1072
#15
147.21.1
147.4146.3
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
red by 13.6
5924
#30
133.60.2
135.5135.7
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed