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Red248
3647159.8
649161.3
3476198.6
Blue347
3310227.0
846175.9
1983182.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034100100200500600700248347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#26
198.60.8
204.0203.3
Auto22.7
Teleop146.5
End28.1
blue by 28.4
227.00.2
227.2227.4
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
Second
649
#34
161.30.8
166.3165.6
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
blue by 20.9
1983
#14
182.30.2
182.2182.4
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
Third
3647
#35
159.80.3
163.7163.5
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
blue by 16.2
846
#16
175.90.3
174.0174.2
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsMissed54%Face the Boss oddsEarned