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Red231
971197.6
115151.0
973188.9
Blue316
2046224.9
2659163.7
1538186.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693970100200500600700231316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
197.60.4
200.9200.5
Auto23.3
Teleop144.1
End29.6
blue by 27.3
224.90.8
220.8221.6
Auto21.8
Teleop183.1
End21.5
Second
973
#10
188.90.1
189.3189.2
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
red by 2.8
1538
#38
186.11.0
192.3191.2
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
Third
115
#41
151.02.4
157.9155.5
Auto17.7
Teleop117.1
End15.4
blue by 12.7
2659
#36
163.71.1
169.7168.6
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed