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Red389
3478194.5
5026154.0
2471192.3
Blue250
3250188.2
2990174.9
5803182.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359359200250300400450389250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#13
194.50.9
198.4197.4
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
red by 6.3
3250
#27
188.20.6
192.2191.6
Auto24.2
Teleop140.4
End21.0
Second
192.31.5
197.8196.2
Auto21.7
Teleop146.0
End19.7
red by 10.1
5803
#11
182.20.4
185.2184.9
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
Third
5026
#42
154.01.6
159.7158.1
Auto20.8
Teleop119.6
End10.1
blue by 20.8
2990
#22
174.90.3
176.1175.8
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed