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Red234
604170.2
5924133.6
3476198.6
Blue327
2910214.9
5499141.9
696159.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3073590100200400500600700234327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#26
198.61.4
203.3201.9
Auto22.7
Teleop146.5
End28.1
blue by 16.2
2910
#12
214.90.7
219.1218.4
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
Second
604
#37
170.20.0
169.2169.2
Auto17.7
Teleop137.5
End16.5
red by 11.1
696
#29
159.21.0
156.6157.6
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
Third
5924
#30
133.60.7
135.7135.0
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End15.6
blue by 8.3
5499
#32
141.90.1
142.8142.7
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed