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Red259
3538205.6
3647159.8
1983182.3
Blue288
5818175.9
3478194.5
8160.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346338260280300320360380259288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#28
205.60.2
208.0208.2
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
red by 11.1
3478
#13
194.50.6
197.4196.8
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
Second
1983
#14
182.30.3
182.5182.1
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
red by 6.3
5818
#33
175.92.2
184.1181.9
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
Third
3647
#35
159.80.6
162.5161.9
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
blue by 1.0
8
#18
160.80.5
161.0160.4
Auto22.2
Teleop126.7
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed