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Red295
3309211.4
4388156.9
2910214.9
Blue375
1678252.2
842202.4
687171.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343860100200300500600295375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
214.90.9
218.4217.5
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
blue by 37.3
252.20.4
249.6250.0
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
Second
3309
#17
211.40.7
215.2214.4
Auto21.4
Teleop158.5
End27.8
red by 9.0
842
#24
202.40.3
203.4203.1
Auto23.2
Teleop163.3
End13.6
Third
4388
#25
156.91.0
160.1159.0
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End11.4
blue by 14.1
687
#21
171.00.9
173.1172.2
Auto24.4
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
61%Face the Boss oddsMissed83%Face the Boss oddsEarned