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Red364
1072147.2
971197.6
5803182.2
Blue280
3512196.8
973188.9
4159143.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3713510100200300500600700364280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#9
197.60.6
200.5199.9
Auto23.3
Teleop144.1
End29.6
red by 0.8
196.81.2
194.8196.0
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
Second
5803
#11
182.20.9
184.9184.0
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
blue by 6.7
973
#10
188.90.3
189.2188.9
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
Third
1072
#15
147.20.2
145.9146.1
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
red by 3.5
4159
#40
143.70.2
144.8144.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsEarned65%Face the Boss oddsMissed