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Red335
5499141.9
2659163.7
968170.6
Blue264
5012159.4
4183155.3
254237.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644040100200500600700800335264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#23
170.60.1
170.6170.5
Auto21.6
Teleop132.1
End16.4
blue by 66.7
254
#3
237.32.2
245.0242.8
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
Second
2659
#36
163.71.3
168.6167.4
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
red by 4.3
5012
#31
159.41.2
163.7162.5
Auto20.1
Teleop121.5
End17.2
Third
5499
#32
141.90.4
142.7142.3
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
blue by 13.4
4183
#39
155.30.4
160.1159.7
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed75%Face the Boss oddsMissed