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Red479
968170.6
687171.0
254237.3
Blue247
696159.2
2557180.9
1072147.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232660100200500600700800479247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
237.32.6
242.8240.1
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
red by 56.4
2557
#20
180.90.5
183.3182.8
Auto20.3
Teleop136.4
End22.3
Second
687
#21
171.00.5
172.2171.7
Auto24.4
Teleop128.2
End17.1
red by 11.9
696
#29
159.20.8
158.1158.9
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
Third
968
#23
170.60.4
170.5170.9
Auto21.6
Teleop132.1
End16.4
red by 23.4
1072
#15
147.20.4
146.1146.5
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
81%Face the Boss oddsEarned21%Face the Boss oddsMissed