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Red216
3538205.6
5499141.9
971197.6
Blue445
2910214.9
3250188.2
3310227.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2914250100200500600700800216445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#28
205.60.6
208.2207.6
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
blue by 21.4
227.00.1
227.7227.8
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
Second
971
#9
197.60.2
199.9199.7
Auto23.3
Teleop144.1
End29.6
blue by 17.3
2910
#12
214.91.1
217.5216.4
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
Third
5499
#32
141.90.1
142.3142.4
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
blue by 46.3
3250
#27
188.21.1
190.6189.5
Auto24.2
Teleop140.4
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed