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Red351
1983182.3
973188.9
4388156.9
Blue309
4488191.2
842202.4
4183155.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173780100200500600700800351309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
188.90.8
188.9188.1
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
blue by 13.6
842
#24
202.40.0
203.1203.2
Auto23.2
Teleop163.3
End13.6
Second
1983
#14
182.31.0
182.1181.1
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
blue by 8.9
4488
#19
191.20.4
193.4193.0
Auto22.3
Teleop137.0
End30.4
Third
4388
#25
156.91.2
159.0157.8
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End11.4
red by 1.6
4183
#39
155.31.2
159.7158.4
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed