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Red319
1072147.2
4911192.4
3476198.6
Blue356
3250188.2
115151.0
1323214.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358348200250300400450319356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#26
198.60.6
199.4198.9
Auto22.7
Teleop146.5
End28.1
blue by 15.6
214.21.5
218.9217.4
Auto24.2
Teleop163.9
End23.2
Second
192.40.6
190.3190.9
Auto20.0
Teleop142.4
End30.1
red by 4.2
3250
#27
188.20.8
189.5188.7
Auto24.2
Teleop140.4
End21.0
Third
1072
#15
147.20.3
146.5146.7
Auto19.7
Teleop114.9
End15.3
blue by 3.8
115
#41
151.00.7
152.1151.4
Auto17.7
Teleop117.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed