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Red316
3647159.8
846175.9
2046224.9
Blue370
2557180.9
3309211.4
2471192.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30839902006008001,000316370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224.90.6
222.0222.6
Auto21.8
Teleop183.1
End21.5
red by 13.5
3309
#17
211.40.6
213.4212.9
Auto21.4
Teleop158.5
End27.8
Second
846
#16
175.90.3
175.1175.5
Auto23.7
Teleop137.3
End16.8
blue by 16.4
192.30.3
193.9193.7
Auto21.7
Teleop146.0
End19.7
Third
3647
#35
159.80.7
160.6159.9
Auto15.2
Teleop115.3
End32.2
blue by 21.1
2557
#20
180.90.5
182.8182.3
Auto20.3
Teleop136.4
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned93%Face the Boss oddsMissed