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Red187
4183155.3
649161.3
696159.2
Blue378
5924133.6
971197.6
1678252.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524550100200300400500600700187378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#34
161.30.4
163.0163.4
Auto20.6
Teleop133.3
End2.4
blue by 90.9
252.21.0
250.7251.6
Auto25.9
Teleop180.5
End41.5
Second
696
#29
159.20.6
158.9159.5
Auto22.2
Teleop124.3
End13.0
blue by 38.5
971
#9
197.61.0
199.7198.7
Auto23.3
Teleop144.1
End29.6
Third
4183
#39
155.31.3
158.4157.1
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
red by 21.7
5924
#30
133.60.1
134.0133.9
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed94%Face the Boss oddsEarned