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Red424
3310227.0
4488191.2
8160.8
Blue237
2659163.7
5803182.2
687171.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183100100200500600700424237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.00.2
227.8228.0
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
red by 44.8
5803
#11
182.20.3
183.5183.2
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
Second
4488
#19
191.20.7
193.0192.3
Auto22.3
Teleop137.0
End30.4
red by 20.1
687
#21
171.00.0
171.7171.7
Auto24.4
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Third
8
#18
160.80.2
160.1160.3
Auto22.2
Teleop126.7
End14.6
blue by 2.9
2659
#36
163.70.1
166.8166.7
Auto24.4
Teleop123.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsEarned28%Face the Boss oddsMissed