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Red345
5012159.4
973188.9
2990174.9
Blue381
4159143.7
2910214.9
3538205.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813880100200500600700800345381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
188.90.3
188.1187.8
Auto24.6
Teleop132.6
End32.1
blue by 26.0
2910
#12
214.90.8
216.4215.6
Auto20.1
Teleop168.7
End24.7
Second
2990
#22
174.90.3
174.2173.9
Auto26.5
Teleop136.1
End16.0
blue by 30.7
3538
#28
205.61.3
207.6206.3
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
Third
5012
#31
159.41.2
160.6159.5
Auto20.1
Teleop121.5
End17.2
red by 15.7
4159
#40
143.70.3
144.0143.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed