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Red171
3512196.8
3478194.5
1538186.1
Blue451
1983182.3
254237.3
5499141.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653250100200400500171451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.81.1
196.5197.6
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
blue by 40.4
254
#3
237.31.7
240.1238.4
Auto25.5
Teleop171.3
End35.6
Second
3478
#13
194.50.3
196.4196.1
Auto22.2
Teleop147.6
End26.2
red by 12.3
1983
#14
182.30.5
181.1180.6
Auto21.3
Teleop140.1
End21.3
Third
1538
#38
186.11.0
188.9187.9
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
red by 44.1
5499
#32
141.90.7
142.4141.6
Auto17.5
Teleop112.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsEarned81%Face the Boss oddsEarned