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Red408
5012159.4
3538205.6
5803182.2
Blue285
968170.6
1538186.1
5924133.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942740100200500600408285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#28
205.60.7
206.3205.7
Auto20.4
Teleop163.6
End20.9
red by 19.5
1538
#38
186.11.8
187.9186.1
Auto18.5
Teleop147.0
End22.0
Second
5803
#11
182.20.9
183.2182.3
Auto21.9
Teleop127.5
End33.8
red by 11.6
968
#23
170.61.0
171.6170.6
Auto21.6
Teleop132.1
End16.4
Third
5012
#31
159.40.2
159.5159.3
Auto20.1
Teleop121.5
End17.2
red by 25.8
5924
#30
133.60.2
133.9133.6
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed