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Red401
4183155.3
2046224.9
3250188.2
Blue262
3310227.0
3512196.8
5818175.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3164070100200500600700800401262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224.90.9
222.6223.5
Auto21.8
Teleop183.1
End21.5
blue by 2.1
227.00.5
228.0228.5
Auto22.1
Teleop174.6
End28.6
Second
3250
#27
188.20.5
188.7188.2
Auto24.2
Teleop140.4
End21.0
blue by 8.6
196.80.1
197.6197.5
Auto19.4
Teleop141.8
End36.6
Third
4183
#39
155.31.8
157.1155.3
Auto23.9
Teleop116.3
End15.0
blue by 20.6
5818
#33
175.92.7
178.7175.9
Auto22.4
Teleop135.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed85%Face the Boss oddsEarned