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Red335
1629211.7
1731189.4
339148.5
Blue342
1885167.6
384177.6
422161.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402316100200500600700335342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.4
211.0211.4
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 34.1
384
#10
177.60.5
174.6175.1
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
Second
189.40.4
188.7189.1
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
red by 21.7
1885
#15
167.60.1
167.8167.7
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
Third
339
#35
148.50.5
149.5149.0
Auto19.4
Teleop107.1
End20.3
blue by 13.3
422
#11
161.80.3
159.8160.1
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6