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Red354
1885167.6
384177.6
422161.8
Blue264
836166.6
5546183.9
612165.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352365250300400450500354264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#10
177.60.5
175.6176.1
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
blue by 6.3
183.90.0
184.1184.0
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
Second
1885
#15
167.60.0
167.6167.5
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
red by 1.1
836
#23
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
Third
422
#11
161.80.3
160.4160.7
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
blue by 3.7
612
#18
165.50.7
164.3165.0
Auto21.4
Teleop130.4
End14.4