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Red275
1629211.7
1731189.4
339148.5
Blue411
1885167.6
384177.6
422161.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3963190100200500600700800275411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.3
211.4211.7
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 34.1
384
#10
177.60.5
175.1175.6
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
Second
189.40.3
189.1189.4
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
red by 21.7
1885
#15
167.60.1
167.7167.6
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
Third
339
#35
148.50.5
149.0148.5
Auto19.4
Teleop107.1
End20.3
blue by 13.3
422
#11
161.80.3
160.1160.4
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6