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Quarterfinal 2-22018 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship
Red371
836166.6
5546183.9
612165.5
Blue218
1418173.9
623180.6
3793138.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407321100200500600700371218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5546
#5
183.90.0
184.1→184.1
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
red by 3.3
623
#6
180.60.0
180.7→180.6
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
Second
836
#23
166.60.1
166.5→166.6
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
blue by 7.3
1418
#29
173.90.2
173.7→173.9
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
Third
612
#18
165.50.8
163.5→164.3
Auto21.4
Teleop130.4
End14.4
red by 27.5
3793
#42
138.10.0
138.0→138.1
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6