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Red269
4541169.2
888174.4
614152.8
Blue355
401150.5
5804156.6
2537167.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339346250300400450269355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#8
174.40.1
174.4174.4
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
red by 6.8
2537
#41
167.70.2
167.0167.3
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Second
4541
#33
169.20.1
169.3169.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
red by 12.6
156.60.4
155.5155.9
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Third
614
#14
152.80.1
152.9152.8
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End12.6
red by 2.3
401
#30
150.50.3
149.7150.0
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8