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Red215
1610154.9
5279118.2
1599166.1
Blue322
888174.4
339148.5
2534156.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324357100150200250300400450215322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#12
166.11.0
164.3165.3
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
blue by 8.3
888
#8
174.40.0
174.1174.2
Auto19.8
Teleop120.1
End32.4
Second
1610
#52
154.91.6
160.4158.8
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
blue by 1.7
2534
#31
156.61.3
158.6157.2
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
Third
5279
#60
118.23.5
127.1123.7
Auto16.0
Teleop84.7
End15.3
blue by 30.3
339
#35
148.51.3
152.9151.6
Auto19.4
Teleop107.1
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed