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Red167
4541169.2
2914122.9
5243129.9
Blue445
1731189.4
6334162.5
384177.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2024410100300400500600700800167445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#33
169.20.9
172.2171.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
blue by 20.2
189.40.8
186.8187.6
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
Second
5243
#56
129.90.3
130.3130.7
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
blue by 47.7
384
#10
177.60.8
172.6173.4
Auto17.1
Teleop136.8
End25.8
Third
2914
#59
122.90.9
125.5124.6
Auto16.7
Teleop96.9
End6.9
blue by 39.6
162.51.3
158.9160.2
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned