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Red283
623180.6
5279118.2
611139.3
Blue342
2890137.0
2106150.9
1086149.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335335290310320330340283342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#6
180.60.8
179.3180.1
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
red by 29.8
2106
#25
150.90.1
150.7150.8
Auto19.0
Teleop111.3
End18.4
Second
611
#26
139.30.6
138.3138.9
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
blue by 10.1
1086
#20
149.40.4
148.7149.1
Auto26.9
Teleop110.1
End9.5
Third
5279
#60
118.23.0
123.7120.6
Auto16.0
Teleop84.7
End15.3
blue by 18.8
2890
#22
137.00.3
136.5136.8
Auto19.1
Teleop100.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed