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Red410
1599166.1
5804156.6
1629211.7
Blue302
2199168.5
1262189.0
4242147.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406326100200500600700410302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.9
209.3210.2
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 22.7
189.00.5
187.7188.2
Auto22.7
Teleop132.9
End36.4
Second
1599
#12
166.10.5
165.3165.8
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
blue by 2.4
2199
#24
168.50.5
167.7168.2
Auto21.9
Teleop130.2
End17.1
Third
156.60.9
152.3153.2
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
red by 8.8
4242
#43
147.80.7
146.5147.2
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned