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Red288
3274142.2
5950135.1
4472168.2
Blue259
2377169.8
6326123.8
422161.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334333200250300350400288259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#27
168.20.0
168.5168.5
Auto20.6
Teleop126.0
End21.1
blue by 1.7
2377
#38
169.80.1
170.3170.4
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
Second
3274
#37
142.20.2
143.0142.8
Auto17.2
Teleop110.8
End13.4
blue by 19.6
422
#11
161.80.7
159.1159.8
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
Third
5950
#34
135.11.2
137.8136.5
Auto19.0
Teleop97.3
End13.4
red by 11.4
6326
#58
123.80.2
124.7124.5
Auto17.3
Teleop94.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed