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Red333
5546183.9
4472168.2
2377169.8
Blue392
836166.6
5804156.6
1522136.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3993030100200500600700800333392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.90.0
184.1184.1
Auto19.9
Teleop135.7
End28.3
red by 17.3
836
#23
166.60.8
167.2166.4
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
Second
2377
#38
169.80.5
170.4169.8
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
red by 13.2
156.60.7
153.2153.9
Auto20.1
Teleop117.9
End16.2
Third
4472
#27
168.20.4
168.5168.2
Auto20.6
Teleop126.0
End21.1
red by 32.0
1522
#28
136.21.2
135.0136.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed