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Red363
4242147.8
6882130.5
401150.5
Blue248
1111128.7
5279118.2
346168.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335326200250300350400363248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#30
150.51.1
147.4148.5
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
blue by 17.7
346
#9
168.10.6
167.6168.2
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
Second
4242
#43
147.80.5
147.2147.8
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
red by 19.1
1111
#47
128.70.1
128.8128.7
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
Third
6882
#55
130.52.2
132.7130.5
Auto16.2
Teleop97.8
End16.6
red by 12.3
5279
#60
118.22.4
120.6118.2
Auto16.0
Teleop84.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed