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Red208
339148.5
623180.6
3136134.5
Blue463
6326123.8
2537167.7
1629211.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2984060100200500600208463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#6
180.60.6
180.1180.7
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
blue by 31.1
211.70.8
210.2211.0
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
Second
339
#35
148.51.0
150.5149.5
Auto19.4
Teleop107.1
End20.3
blue by 19.2
2537
#41
167.70.1
166.1166.2
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Third
3136
#53
134.50.1
134.6134.5
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
red by 10.7
6326
#58
123.80.7
124.5123.8
Auto17.3
Teleop94.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed