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Red394
2363166.9
122149.2
2890137.0
Blue203
6194130.8
2377169.8
4242147.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362323200250300400450500550394203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#19
166.90.0
171.5171.5
Auto22.4
Teleop130.1
End14.7
blue by 2.9
2377
#38
169.81.0
181.8180.9
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
Second
122
#17
149.21.2
143.5144.7
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
red by 1.5
4242
#43
147.81.1
147.4148.5
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
Third
2890
#22
137.00.7
138.6137.9
Auto19.1
Teleop100.7
End15.3
red by 6.2
6194
#54
130.80.3
131.0131.2
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed