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Red337
3136134.5
1599166.1
5115136.7
Blue367
5243129.9
4472168.2
116140.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298376200500600337367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#12
166.10.0
160.0160.0
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
blue by 2.0
4472
#27
168.21.8
181.7179.9
Auto20.6
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
5115
#48
136.70.5
139.8139.2
Auto18.3
Teleop102.3
End16.6
blue by 4.0
116
#49
140.71.4
139.0140.4
Auto15.8
Teleop109.3
End12.2
Third
3136
#53
134.50.6
127.9128.5
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
red by 4.6
5243
#56
129.90.2
131.3131.5
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed