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Red307
5338170.2
401150.5
540148.6
Blue314
6802151.4
5957116.1
6334162.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388320200500600307314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#46
170.20.5
177.1177.6
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
red by 7.7
162.50.0
157.1157.1
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
Second
401
#30
150.50.0
143.2143.2
Auto22.3
Teleop110.1
End17.8
blue by 0.9
6802
#36
151.40.6
148.1148.7
Auto22.3
Teleop110.8
End18.5
Third
540
#16
148.61.5
140.1141.6
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
red by 32.5
5957
#57
116.11.3
115.9117.1
Auto15.4
Teleop87.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed