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Red431
1629211.7
6882130.5
5945170.0
Blue212
2534156.6
4456117.5
1885167.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398315200500600431212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.70.6
204.3205.0
Auto25.6
Teleop157.6
End27.0
red by 44.1
1885
#15
167.60.5
171.6172.1
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
Second
5945
#21
170.00.1
173.9173.8
Auto18.0
Teleop124.2
End28.8
red by 13.3
2534
#31
156.61.0
159.3160.2
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
Third
6882
#55
130.50.9
149.0148.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.8
End16.6
red by 13.0
4456
#51
117.50.8
119.1119.9
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed