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Red189
6326123.8
4242147.8
5945170.0
Blue286
1731189.4
836166.6
2914122.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289412100200500600189286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#21
170.00.2
173.8174.0
Auto18.0
Teleop124.2
End28.8
blue by 19.4
189.40.6
185.7186.2
Auto22.3
Teleop143.7
End25.2
Second
4242
#43
147.80.2
148.5148.7
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
blue by 18.8
836
#23
166.61.3
165.3166.5
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
Third
6326
#58
123.80.8
121.4122.2
Auto17.3
Teleop94.5
End12.2
red by 0.9
2914
#59
122.90.3
128.6128.9
Auto16.7
Teleop96.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed