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Red284
2199168.5
2534156.6
6194130.8
Blue424
623180.6
5338170.2
4541169.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290431100200400500600700284424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#24
168.51.5
159.1160.6
Auto21.9
Teleop130.2
End17.1
blue by 12.2
623
#6
180.61.3
173.4174.7
Auto19.5
Teleop136.5
End25.7
Second
2534
#31
156.60.1
160.2160.3
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
blue by 13.6
5338
#46
170.20.3
177.6177.4
Auto18.9
Teleop129.1
End18.8
Third
6194
#54
130.80.4
131.2130.9
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
blue by 38.4
4541
#33
169.20.3
173.0173.3
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed