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Red351
6334162.5
4242147.8
611139.3
Blue214
1522136.2
6194130.8
4472168.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329322250300350400450351214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.51.0
157.2156.2
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
blue by 5.7
4472
#27
168.21.4
178.5177.1
Auto20.6
Teleop126.0
End21.1
Second
4242
#43
147.80.8
148.7148.0
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
red by 11.6
1522
#28
136.20.4
135.5135.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
Third
611
#26
139.30.6
133.0133.6
Auto18.0
Teleop103.0
End17.9
red by 8.6
6194
#54
130.80.1
130.9130.8
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed