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Red307
5115136.7
1418173.9
1111128.7
Blue297
2534156.6
5724145.4
2914122.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337309100150200250400450500307297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#29
173.90.7
174.5173.8
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
red by 17.2
2534
#31
156.60.3
160.3160.6
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
Second
5115
#48
136.70.7
139.0138.3
Auto18.3
Teleop102.3
End16.6
blue by 8.7
5724
#50
145.40.8
150.5149.7
Auto17.7
Teleop108.1
End18.8
Third
1111
#47
128.70.4
130.5130.8
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
red by 5.8
2914
#59
122.90.5
128.9128.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed