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Red275
122149.2
1418173.9
620146.4
Blue294
3274142.2
836166.6
2028141.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533100100200400500600700275294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#29
173.90.2
173.3173.5
Auto21.4
Teleop127.5
End26.9
red by 7.3
836
#23
166.60.0
167.0167.0
Auto21.5
Teleop124.2
End18.4
Second
122
#17
149.20.4
147.2146.8
Auto16.0
Teleop119.7
End11.9
red by 7.0
3274
#37
142.20.7
141.2142.0
Auto17.2
Teleop110.8
End13.4
Third
620
#44
146.40.4
149.5149.1
Auto20.1
Teleop107.5
End17.7
red by 4.9
2028
#40
141.50.1
142.3142.2
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed