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Red406
1885167.6
5243129.9
1610154.9
Blue301
2537167.7
4242147.8
5957116.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357292100200400500600700406301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#15
167.60.9
170.3169.5
Auto16.7
Teleop128.9
End24.3
blue by 0.1
2537
#41
167.70.2
168.2167.9
Auto22.4
Teleop126.7
End16.9
Second
1610
#52
154.92.3
167.6165.3
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
red by 7.2
4242
#43
147.80.5
147.7147.2
Auto19.1
Teleop110.4
End20.5
Third
5243
#56
129.90.3
131.4131.1
Auto19.1
Teleop101.7
End8.8
red by 13.8
5957
#57
116.10.4
118.9118.5
Auto15.4
Teleop87.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed