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Red158
4456117.5
5115136.7
5279118.2
Blue432
977147.1
1262189.0
2377169.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224420100300400500600700158432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#48
136.70.0
137.9137.8
Auto18.3
Teleop102.3
End16.6
blue by 52.3
189.00.1
183.7183.9
Auto22.7
Teleop132.9
End36.4
Second
5279
#60
118.22.6
137.3134.7
Auto16.0
Teleop84.7
End15.3
blue by 51.6
2377
#38
169.82.1
176.8174.7
Auto19.1
Teleop122.8
End29.7
Third
4456
#51
117.50.6
121.2120.6
Auto17.9
Teleop87.7
End13.3
blue by 29.6
977
#32
147.10.6
143.6144.2
Auto18.3
Teleop109.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned