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Red315
6504131.3
2890137.0
6334162.5
Blue438
422161.8
1599166.1
3793138.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3163560100200400500600700800315438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.50.3
155.6155.4
Auto25.9
Teleop112.4
End26.8
blue by 3.6
1599
#12
166.10.2
160.7160.9
Auto20.0
Teleop119.8
End25.7
Second
2890
#22
137.00.2
136.4136.2
Auto19.1
Teleop100.7
End15.3
blue by 24.8
422
#11
161.80.1
157.8157.9
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End17.6
Third
6504
#39
131.31.0
126.1127.1
Auto16.2
Teleop94.5
End24.4
blue by 6.7
3793
#42
138.10.7
132.6133.3
Auto17.8
Teleop106.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed