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Red257
1522136.2
2534156.6
5950135.1
Blue379
1086149.4
540148.6
346168.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3263610100200400500600700257379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#31
156.60.1
161.0161.2
Auto19.0
Teleop116.3
End21.4
blue by 11.5
346
#9
168.11.6
168.7167.1
Auto22.4
Teleop115.9
End31.1
Second
1522
#28
136.20.3
134.4134.1
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
blue by 13.2
1086
#20
149.40.6
149.3148.7
Auto26.9
Teleop110.1
End9.5
Third
5950
#34
135.11.0
142.8141.8
Auto19.0
Teleop97.3
End13.4
blue by 13.5
540
#16
148.61.8
143.7145.4
Auto16.9
Teleop108.3
End26.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed