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Red341
612165.5
1111128.7
5587155.6
Blue309
6326123.8
4541169.2
6194130.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363298200400500600341309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#18
165.50.6
156.4157.1
Auto21.4
Teleop130.4
End14.4
blue by 3.7
4541
#33
169.21.3
174.4173.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.5
End17.4
Second
5587
#13
155.60.7
154.4155.1
Auto24.9
Teleop115.0
End15.9
red by 24.8
6194
#54
130.80.4
130.3129.9
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
Third
1111
#47
128.70.6
131.2130.6
Auto17.1
Teleop93.2
End18.4
red by 4.9
6326
#58
123.80.1
122.0122.1
Auto17.3
Teleop94.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed